AI Models

Transparent, calibrated predictions across every market.

Trained nightly
Our signature: calibration
86.0%

When our models say 65% confidence, games actually win ~65% of the time over 10,084 predictions. That's calibration — the deepest trust signal we offer. Brier score 0.2802; lower is better.

See the calibration chart
Platform performance
Total predictions
1,869
Win rate
53.2%
ROI @ -110
-2.4%
Active models
4
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Create a custom model

Tune feature weights, see live picks update as you drag, track real performance.

PRO
Template
Sharp Money Tracker
Follow professional bettor consensus and line movement signals.
Line Movement 35%Sharp Money 35%ELO Rating 15%
Template
Injury Exploiter
Capitalize on games where key injuries create market inefficiencies.
Team Injury Score 35%Key Player Status 25%ELO Rating 20%

How our models are built

  • Three independent models — Elo, logistic regression, gradient-boosted trees — score every game and outcome.
  • The ensemble blends their probabilities by historical calibration weight, not equal vote.
  • Models retrain nightly on the latest closed games; weights and architecture stay public on /models.
  • Calibration is checked daily and surfaced on /models/calibration — when a market drifts, we publish the drift.